Monday, June 22, 2015

Complaints about the High Price of Miracles

In response to this article on the high price of drugs:

Michael Hiltzik: "High cost of hepatitis drug reflects a broken pricing system" in LA Times

     This is the first in a series of posts that together seek a balanced approach: 



Mr. Hiltzik:

This response is in reference to your article, the "High cost of hepatitis drug reflects a broken pricing system" on the high cost of drugs, highlighting Anthem and Gilead in particular.  First, I’d just like to say your opinion is typical of the hypocritical masses that demand top-tier modern health care for Americans while simultaneously loudly complaining about the basic financial incentive necessary to fuel such an advanced system.  I am surprised such an informed person as yourself continues to espouse the “oh, this brand new miracle drug is too expensive” attitude, given what you know.  But I am not surprised that there is a market for your dichotomous logic considering the general expression of entitlement of a large portion of the population, and the liberal elite that incite them for their own selfish purposes.

"Ok, that's nice and all, given the chariots, but how much is this gonna cost me?"

Although you briefly covered the role of insurance companies in the pricing of Gilead’s new cure for Hepatitis C, you then go on to absolve them by relating Peter Bach’s opinion that this action is necessary to save the public healthcare system (ACA, your other sacred cow).  With that deflection, you can get into the meat of your argument against Gilead with not a trace of even-handed treatment, nor even mention of arguments from any other point of view.  The treatment is just too expensive in your estimation.  Why?  Because they lowered the price for poor countries, as American drug companies have been wont to do for decades now, so you feel everybody is entitled to this subsidized rate.  A few points, of many, that you fail to discuss:

·         It’s way more successful than originally expected – When the original company (Pharmasset) was developing the drug and envisioned its preliminary $36,000 price, it hadn’t completed the trials.  Like a great many drugs, the cost would surely have gone up significantly given its phenomenal success in the trials.  I submit that even if the price had been held to that level, the whining would still be in full force.
·         Financials figure in – you cite the Pharmasset drug price but fail to mention the company sold itself for the hefty upcharge of $11 billion dollars in 2011.  Then there were the added costs of finishing the three phase III trials and making/marketing the drug.  Gilead would have to get some ROI on that investment, at least in the capitalistic America that develops these miracle drugs.
·         $314,500 vs $63,000 – Understand, THIS IS A CURE, and per your own writing, "its side effects are minimal, and its cure rate has been measured as high as 99%."  The alternative has generally been an ineffective ongoing costly drug treatment, with poor side effects, ultimately resulting in a liver transplant.  Or death.  Liver transplants cost about $314,500 per the National Kidney Foundation.  How much was that Gilead drug treatment again? - $84,000 for Sovaldi and $94,500 for Harvoni, with 40% of Hep C patients only requiring an eight week treatment for $63,000
·         It’s a one-time deal – Unlike many other medicines that are ongoing, sometimes lifelong financial "drains" on the insurance system, this is a one-and-done Holy Grail answer.  It is likely that most of the ongoing drug treatments slide under the radar of your righteous umbrage because their yearly costs do not match that of one Hep-C treatment, but they surely take a bigger slice of the pie.  And still, in many cases they are worth it.  Take the Novartis cancer drug Gleevac/Glivec for example.  It had a yearly price of $30,000 in 2001, going up to as much as $126,000 in the years since, and it is highly effective at keeping people alive where they would otherwise have died long ago.  How much is being alive worth?  Economically, what treatment price would be correct if a company were to develop a drug that treated these patients just once and cured their cancer?
·         Pay for performance – If you espouse payment systems in which a patient/insurance pays for effectiveness (a la Dr. Leonard Saltz), or UPMC-like reimbursement models where results are the bottom line, not line-item charges, this Sovaldi/Harvoni is everything you asked for – you just have to meet your side of the contract. 

There is a window in which these drug companies have to make their money.  Soon other drugs appear on the market driving down the price, as AbbVie's Viekira Pak already has and Merck's Hep C treatment may shortly.  Eventually the patent runs out and the generic makers take over.  And the company requires revenue not just to manufacture and market that particular successful drug, but it must pay the costs of developing all those other drugs that never made it to market, and the nascent ones still in the pipeline.

Meanwhile, a more intractable threat to the public healthcare system's finances lies in the repeat customers - the drug is one-and-done, but the patient population may not be.  The primary Hep C contract-ers are IV drug users and there are notable numbers of low grade tattoo partakers infected with contaminated needles.  How does a good liberal who advocates cheap subsidized healthcare for everyone address the high cost of multiple disease cures for them?  By blaming the company that invents the cure, apparently. 

You ended your article with this:  There's more to come, with high-priced drugs for cancer, rheumatoid arthritis, and other conditions filling the pharmaceutical pipeline. America's broken system of drug pricing is going to have to be fixed, or it will bankrupt us all.”

The reason there’s more to come is that America has a system that encourages the invention of these drugs by allowing a financial reward commensurate with what the invention is, i.e. what the market will bear.  Otherwise, we could all sit back in your ideal of socialized (“cheap”) medicine and enjoy 1985 medical technology at its best for the foreseeable future.

Disclosures:  I have no affiliation with any drug or medical companies, although I worked in the medical device industry for approximately 20 years as an engineer and engineering manager.  I do own some Gilead stock because of the reasons above.

Monday, June 1, 2015

Airport Security: Another Oxymoron


 Maybe We Could Just Check Each Other at the Gate?

[Apologies for the long delay in my return.  Frankly, this blog is not the hottest read on the web, so I went off to see if I could be good at other things.  Alas.]

“WASHINGTON --An internal investigation by the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) has revealed some disturbing gaps in the security screening at some of the nation's busiest airports.

Investigators with the Department of Homeland Security Inspector General (IG) went undercover and were able to smuggle mock explosives or banned weapons through checkpoints in 95 percent of trials. The IG's report found that TSA agents failed 67 out of 70 tests.” [CBS News: Transportation Security Agency fails explosive screening tests]


Today's revelation on the blatant inability of TSA to do the one job they are really supposed to do should not be considered new and shocking, but the straw that broke the camel's back.

NBC reported these tests have been ongoing for 12-13 years.  It was also reported previously that there had been numerous failures to detect weapons and mock bombs by the TSA and the airports in general during security testing.  

“According to one report, undercover TSA agents testing security at a Newark airport terminal on one day in 2006 found that TSA screeners failed to detect concealed bombs and guns 20 out of 22 times. A 2007 government audit leaked to USA Today revealed that undercover agents were successful slipping simulated explosives and bomb parts through Los Angeles's LAX airport in 50 out of 70 attempts, and at Chicago's O'Hare airport agents made 75 attempts and succeeded in getting through undetected 45 times.” [ABC News 16 Dec 2010 report of passenger actually getting through TSA screeners with a loaded Glock]

The media kerfuffle is less "breaking news" and more of a Groundhog's Day type of event, albeit with even more numerous failures.


IMO, the TSA system has always been one of the most ineffective AND inefficient systems established in the wake of the 9-11 attacks.  At any one time you'll find an over-abundance of largely fat, donut-swilling union-types standing around just one or two open check-in/scan stations while four to six people actually work, apparently ineptly, to detect threats.  While determined terrorists could easily scout out the vulnerabilities at any one airport (it only takes one!) and outfox these Einsteins, grandmothers are being grilled, we're all sharing someone's athlete's foot infection, and all manner of nail clippers and jump rope are being confiscated to fund the next party.

Largely due to political correctness, we are trapped in this mode.  Instead we should shelve the crew of 50-200 TSA automatons and hire one quarter of that number in skilled interrogators.  Anyone who has flown El Al or through Schiphol in Europe knows how effective their methods are, and part of that is concentrating on the profiles that are actually the threats, not everybody equally.  Also, not advertising their methods and what they are looking for helps too.

How much worse could they be than what we have now?